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Betting Content Quickie
New places to find insight
Thank you for being a reader.
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I’m traveling this week, so today’s newsletter is a short look at betting (and betting-adjacent) content I’ve been consuming, and finding genuinely useful, since I last shared on this topic.
In June, I wrote a detailed post on podcasts, newsletters, and books I find valuable for betting. Today, I’m sharing three new sources where I’ve been learning from sharp bettors and/or sourcing ideas.
As always, we’ll close with this week’s Bets of the Week!
Let’s get after it.
Three Recommendations and One Must-Listen Epidode
The Risk Takers Podcast isn’t a “picks” show—it’s free, long-form, evergreen betting education hosted by pro bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) alongside SportsProjections. They cover practical topics like advantage play, exchange strategy, market dynamics, and bankroll/risk management (often via listener Q&A). I’ve learned a lot, and the guest quality is consistently strong.
KoalatyStats (Joseph Bryan) is a model-heavy NFL Substack that turns play-by-play/PFF-driven analysis into “advanced stats, predictions, and hidden value” writeups, often framing angles through tail-event thinking, pressure/coverage mismatches, and other quant signals. I’ve used Joseph’s research to inform my NFL betting, though I rarely tail him directly. It costs $15/month or $50/year.
Basket Under Review is an independent college-basketball hub that publishes 3–4 new pieces most weekdays and sends a free daily newsletter recapping major scores/storylines (with links to everything new on the site). There’s also a paid Discord community (coaching carousel + recruiting intel, lineup updates, and betting insights), plus a steady lineup of shows/podcasts—headlined by The Basket Under Review Podcast hosted by Eamonn Brennan. It costs $10 month.
Former Juice Reel crusher CalvinAndHobo recently was the featured guest in a spectacular episode of Circles Off. He gave a masterclass in growing as a bettor and talked about his journey as well as his methods. This builds on our interview last year and is a free listen.
That’s it for this week, on to the bets!
Bet of the Week $$
Last week we went 1-1, winning our first bet easily as the Pelicans won outright on Thursday before being let down by the Bengals on Sunday.
With that outcome, since starting the newsletter, bets in this section are ahead 21.8 units, with a positive 16% ROI. We’ll update this regularly.
Based on my research, I am making the following bet this week:
Zach Charbonnet Under 34.5 rushing yards @-117 on BetRivers for 0.5 units (Tonight)
Since Week 11, the Seahawks have seen their pass rate over expectation increase 10% which leads to reduced rush volume. I also expect them to be in a tighter game than they typically see, both of which should combine to keep ZC under this total.
Next week we’ll keep the NFL focus.
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